SE_Meyer asks:
What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for May 2023?
Closed Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The US housing market has begun to slow amid rising mortgage rates and general economic anxiety (US News & World Report, CNBC, Yahoo Finance). The outcome will be determined using S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined when monthly index data for May 2023 are first available, expected in July.
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The question closed "Higher than 300.000 but lower than 312.000" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 264.000 | 0% | |
| Between 264.000 and 276.000, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 276.000 but lower than 288.000 | 9% | |
| Between 288.000 and 300.000, inclusive | 56% | |
| Higher than 300.000 but lower than 312.000 | 32% | |
| Between 312.000 and 324.000, inclusive | 3% | |
| Higher than 324.000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 54 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 457 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
