What will be the closing value of the British pound to US dollar exchange rate on 12 May 2023?

Started Sep 30, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 12, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Fears of a UK recession, inflation, and the impact of government fiscal policy has seen the British pound fall to its lowest level versus the US dollar since the UK's decimalization in 1971 (Guardian, CNBC, Historic UK). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "1.20 or higher" with a closing date of 12 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 0.90 0%
Between 0.90 and 0.95, inclusive 0%
Higher than 0.95 but lower than 1.00 0%
Between 1.00 and 1.05, inclusive 0%
Higher than 1.05 but lower than 1.10 0%
Between 1.10 and 1.15, inclusive 1%
Higher than 1.15 but lower than 1.20 1%
1.20 or higher 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 459
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.212
2.
-0.2
3.
-0.198
5.
-0.184

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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