Before 15 April 2023, will Ebrahim Raisi flee Iran or cease to be its president?
Closed Apr 15, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Anti-government protests have grown throughout Iran in the wake of Mahsa Amini's death while in custody (US News & World Report, Time, CNBC). Whether or not Raisi has fled Iran will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 April 2023.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Yes, and Ebrahim Raisi will become the supreme leader of Iran before 15 April 2023 without fleeing||2%|
|Yes, but Ebrahim Raisi will not become the supreme leader of Iran before 15 April 2023 and/or will have fled||5%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||75|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 215|
|Number of Forecasts||356|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 606|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||worse than average|