Johnxf asks:
Before 15 April 2023, will Ebrahim Raisi flee Iran or cease to be its president?
Started
Oct 14, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 15, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closing Apr 15, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Anti-government protests have grown throughout Iran in the wake of Mahsa Amini's death while in custody (US News & World Report, Time, CNBC). Whether or not Raisi has fled Iran will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, and Ebrahim Raisi will become the supreme leader of Iran before 15 April 2023 without fleeing | 3.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |
| Yes, but Ebrahim Raisi will not become the supreme leader of Iran before 15 April 2023 and/or will have fled | 6.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +4.00% |
| No | 91.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -4.00% |