Started Oct 21, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

How many job layoffs and discharges in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for the first quarter of 2023?

US job openings fell in August 2022 at the fastest pace since the beginning of the COVID pandemic, raising concerns that the US labor market may be deteriorating (US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined by summing BLS data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) for January 2023, February 2023, and March 2023 as reported when data for March 2023 are first released, expected around early May 2023 (FRED). As of 20 October 2022, the job layoffs and discharges reported for the first quarter of 2022 totaled 4,173 (in thousands).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 4 million 5.00% +0.00% -0.30% -16.40%
Between 4 million and 5 million, inclusive 70.70% +0.00% +7.60% +37.40%
More than 5 million but fewer than 6 million 21.70% +0.00% -5.40% -19.00%
Between 6 million and 7 million, inclusive 1.70% +0.00% -1.10% -1.40%
More than 7 million but fewer than 8 million 0.70% +0.00% -0.40% -0.20%
8 million or more 0.20% +0.00% -0.40% -0.40%

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