How many job layoffs and discharges in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for the first quarter of 2023?
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
US job openings fell in August 2022 at the fastest pace since the beginning of the COVID pandemic, raising concerns that the US labor market may be deteriorating (US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined by summing BLS data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) for January 2023, February 2023, and March 2023 as reported when data for March 2023 are first released, expected around early May 2023 (FRED). As of 20 October 2022, the job layoffs and discharges reported for the first quarter of 2022 totaled 4,173 (in thousands).
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The question closed "More than 5 million but fewer than 6 million" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Fewer than 4 million | 3% | |
Between 4 million and 5 million, inclusive | 54% | |
More than 5 million but fewer than 6 million | 41% | |
Between 6 million and 7 million, inclusive | 2% | |
More than 7 million but fewer than 8 million | 0% | |
8 million or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 27 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 141 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |