Started Oct 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 06, 2022 03:15AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many games will the Houston Astros win in the 2022 World Series?

Game 1 of the best of seven MLB World Series between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Houston Astros is scheduled for 28 October 2022 (CBS Sports).

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The question closed "4" with a closing date of 5 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 0%
1 1%
2 4%
3 18%
4 77%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 106
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 519
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.04
3.
-0.04
5.
-0.028

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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