Started Nov 04, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2023, will the People's Republic of China (PRC) cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine?

While Hong Kong lifted its compulsory quarantine requirement for travelers outside of China in September 2022, such requirements remain for travelers to the PRC mainland (Government of Hong Kong, US Embassy in China, US News & World Report, CNN). For the purposes of this question, "outside of China" means anywhere other than the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, Macao, or Taiwan. The general removal of the requirements with exceptions would count so long as travel from at least six G7 nations is permitted without quarantine (Canada G7). An announcement that the PRC will cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine at some future date after 30 June 2023 would not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 36.12% -0.84% -0.88%
No 63.88% +0.84% +0.88%

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