Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2023, will the People's Republic of China (PRC) cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine?

Started Nov 04, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 07, 2023 04:00PM UTC

While Hong Kong lifted its compulsory quarantine requirement for travelers outside of China in September 2022, such requirements remain for travelers to the PRC mainland (Government of Hong Kong, US Embassy in China, US News & World Report, CNN). For the purposes of this question, "outside of China" means anywhere other than the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, Macao, or Taiwan. The general removal of the requirements with exceptions would count so long as travel from at least six G7 nations is permitted without quarantine (Canada G7). An announcement that the PRC will cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine at some future date after 30 June 2023 would not count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 95.06%
No 4.94%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 83
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 212
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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