Started Nov 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 08, 2022 09:00AM UTC

DippySkippy asks:

Before 11 March 2023, will American basketball player Brittney Griner leave Russia?

Amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, the US is reportedly negotiating for the release of Brittney Griner and other Americans imprisoned in Russia (ABC News, ESPN).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 28.62%
No 71.38%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 126
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 519
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.413
3.
-1.152
5.
-1.102

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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