DippySkippy asks:

Before 11 March 2023, will American basketball player Brittney Griner leave Russia?

Started Nov 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2022 09:00AM UTC

Amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, the US is reportedly negotiating for the release of Brittney Griner and other Americans imprisoned in Russia (ABC News, ESPN).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 28.62%
No 71.38%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 126
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.413
3.
-1.152
5.
-1.102

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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