Started Nov 14, 2022 11:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will more international overnight visitors from China visit Dubai in 2023 than did in 2019, according to the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism?

Dubai is expecting a surge in Chinese tourists once China eases its COVID-19 policy restrictions (The National). The outcome will be determined using data from the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism (Dubai Tourism). In 2019, China accounted for 989,000 visitors (Dubai Tourism - 2019 Annual Report). For January through September 2022, Dubai has received 113,000 visitors from China versus 729,000 over the same period in 2019 (Dubai Tourism - Tourism Performance Report September 2022).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 34.90% -0.52% -6.32%
No 65.10% +0.52% +6.32%

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