Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will more international overnight visitors from China visit Dubai in 2023 than did in 2019, according to the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Dubai is expecting a surge in Chinese tourists once China eases its COVID-19 policy restrictions (The National). The outcome will be determined using data from the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism (Dubai Tourism). In 2019, China accounted for 989,000 visitors (Dubai Tourism - 2019 Annual Report). For January through September 2022, Dubai has received 113,000 visitors from China versus 729,000 over the same period in 2019 (Dubai Tourism - Tourism Performance Report September 2022).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20.74% | |
| No | 79.26% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 67 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 195 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 174 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 559 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
