orchidny and Tylerdurden03 ask:

Will Twitter, Inc. file for bankruptcy in the US before 2 December 2023?

Started Nov 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 02, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Twitter has seen the departure of senior executives, advertising pauses by clients, and other developments since Elon Musk took the company private in late October 2022, with Musk mentioning the possibility of bankruptcy for the firm (CNBC, US News & World Report, NPR, Investopedia).

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NOTE 13 April 2023: We are aware of the changes to Twitter's corporate status, that it was merged with a new, Nevada-incorporated firm called "X Corp." (NV Business ID NV20232715940) with the parent company "X Holdings Corp." (NV Business ID NV20232715924), also a Nevada-incorporated firm. A bankruptcy filing for whatever entity is the corporate successor in interest to Twitter, Inc., or its parent company would close this question "Yes."


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 2 December 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.83%
No 99.17%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 204
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 989
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.007
3.
-0.007

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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