Started Nov 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 22, 2022 08:36PM UTC

Will the pause on US federal student loan repayment be extended before 1 January 2023?

As President Biden's loan forgiveness plan faces major headwinds in the courts, there is speculation that there may be a new extension of the federal student loan repayment pause, scheduled to end on 31 December 2022, which has been in effect since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic (US Dept. of Education, CBS News, CNBC).

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The question closed "Yes, through 30 June 2023 or earlier" with a closing date of 22 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, through 30 June 2023 or earlier 47%
Yes, through 1 July 2023 or later 32%
No 21%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 33
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 169
Number of Forecasts 59
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 374
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.353
2.
-0.336
3.
-0.31
4.
-0.257
5.
-0.214

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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