Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between November 2022 and December 2023, will workers 15 to 24 years old who are in the labour force of British Columbia (BC) comprise more than 14.6% of the total BC labour force in any month?

Started Nov 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 if still open and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada, parameters set in link). To retrieve data for a specific month, see the month and year drop-down menus under "Reference period," and click "Apply." Subsequent revisions to data would be immaterial. The percentage of workers 15 to 24 years old who are in the labour force will be determined by dividing the "Labour force" figure for "15 to 24 years" by the "Labour force" figure for "15 years and over" in the relevant month. In October 2022, workers 15 to 24 years old comprised 13.62% (=393.0/2884.6) of the BC labour force.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 11.10% +0.00% -0.90% -13.00%
No 88.90% -0.00% +0.90% +13.00%

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