Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What percentage of the labour force in British Columbia (BC) will be comprised of landed immigrants in 2023?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada, parameters set in link). To adjust the date range, see the year drop-down menus under "Reference period," and click "Apply." Subsequent revisions to data would be immaterial. The percentage of workers in the labour force who are landed immigrants will be determined by dividing the number of "Landed Immigrants" by the "Total Population" figure. In 2021, landed immigrants comprised 32.04% (=910.4/2841.2) of the BC labour force.
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The question closed "Between 32.0% and 33.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 32.0% | 13% | |
| Between 32.0% and 33.0%, inclusive | 48% | |
| More than 33.0% but less than 34.0% | 30% | |
| Between 34.0% and 35.0%, inclusive | 8% | |
| More than 35.0% | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 85 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
