Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What percentage of workers in British Columbia (BC) will have worked from home between July 2021 and December 2022?

Started Nov 29, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and outcome determined using data as provided by Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada). From April 2020 to June 2021, 27.8% of workers in BC worked from home (Statistics Canada - Working from home during the COVID-19 pandemic, April 2020 to June 2021, see Table 1). Statistics Canada has confirmed that they will provide a report including these same data for July 2021 through December 2022, which is expected in early 2023.

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The question closed "Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 20.0% 16%
Between 20.0% and 25.0%, inclusive 17%
More than 25.0% but less than 30.0% 42%
Between 30.0% and 35.0%, inclusive 14%
More than 35.0% 11%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 36
Average for questions older than 6 months: 595
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.147
2.
-0.131
3.
-0.129
4.
-0.116
5.
-0.097

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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