Started Dec 02, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

UBS asks:

What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2023?

As China deals with new COVID outbreaks, protests against "zero COVID" & other issues, and a distressed property market, economic growth expectations have fallen (Yahoo Finance, CNN, Guardian). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in April 2023 (Trading Economics).

This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Lower by more than 1.5% 3.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
Lower by between 0.0% and 1.5%, inclusive 5.00% +0.00% -1.00% -2.00%
Higher by more than 0.0% but less than 1.5% 10.00% -1.00% -2.00% -2.00%
Higher by between 1.5% and 3.0%, inclusive 25.00% +1.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Higher by more than 3.0% but less than 4.5% 33.00% +0.00% +2.00% +3.00%
Higher by between 4.5% and 6.0%, inclusive 19.00% +0.00% +1.00% +1.00%
Higher by more than 6.0% but less than 7.5% 4.00% +0.00% +0.00% +1.00%
Higher by 7.5% or more 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

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