Chrisp asks:

What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 3 July 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Dec 16, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 03, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Gas prices have fallen considerably from record highs set in the summer of 2022, but supply issues and other factors could put pressure on prices in 2023 (Cooperative, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 2 July 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 3 July 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "More than $3.40 but less than $3.80" with a closing date of 3 July 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.20 0%
Between $2.20 and $2.60, inclusive 0%
More than $2.60 but less than $3.00 1%
Between $3.00 and $3.40, inclusive 7%
More than $3.40 but less than $3.80 91%
Between $3.80 and $4.20, inclusive 1%
More than $4.20 but less than $4.60 0%
Between $4.60 and $5.00, inclusive 0%
More than $5.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 283
Average for questions older than 6 months: 578
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.08584
2.
-0.06936
3.
-0.06447
4.
-0.060258
5.
-0.057631

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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