Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Before 1 January 2024, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed?

Started Dec 30, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

China and the GCC began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2005, and seeking an agreement was discussed on President Xi Jinping's December 2022 visit to Saudi Arabia (China Ministry of Commerce, Voice of America, Middle East Eye, GCC). The signing of an FTA or the announcement of an agreement in principle (see EU-Mercosur announcement) would count, and ratification would be immaterial (e.g., New Zeeland Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, BBC).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.93%
No 98.07%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 168
Average for questions older than 6 months: 595
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username