Ev-Ze asks:

Will there be a shutdown of the US federal government in 2023?

Started Jan 13, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The last federal shutdown occurred in December 2018 to January 2019, and current appropriations would expire on 30 September 2023 (Congressional Research Service, ABC News, H.R.2617). For the purposes of this question, a "shutdown of the US federal government" would mean a ceasing of operations due to a lack of funding appropriation. A partial shutdown would count (Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.06%
No 98.94%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 163
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1074
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.465
2.
-0.44
5.
-0.427

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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