Nonrival asks:

When will the US next raise, suspend, and/or abolish its debt ceiling?

Started Jan 13, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

After the contentious fight within the Republican Party to elect a Speaker of the House, there are concerns that a major political fight over the US debt ceiling looms (US News, Guardian, CNN). The public debt ceiling (aka public debt limit) is a statutory limit on how much debt the US government may issue, with limited exceptions (Investopedia - Debt Ceiling, Congressional Research Service). As of 16 December 2021, the ceiling was set to its current level of $31,381,462,788,891.71 (US Treasury). Select "Published Reports" in the "Preview & Download" section, select "Previous" under “Select Report Date," and then set the year to "2022" and month to "Dec." The value will be in footnote 5.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 May 2023 10.56% +0.52% +0.43% -7.44%
Between 1 May 2023 and 31 August 2023 72.04% +2.84% +3.00% +8.04%
Between 1 September 2023 and 31 December 2023 14.56% -1.44% -1.44% +0.56%
Not before 1 January 2024 2.84% -1.92% -1.99% -1.16%

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