MrLittleTexas asks:
What percentage of the vote will the Democratic candidate win in the 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election?
Started
Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Incumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is running for reelection in a state that went for Donald Trump in 2020 (WYMT, Morning Consult, Ballotpedia).
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The question closed "More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%" with a closing date of 7 November 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% or less and will not win the election | 37% | |
| 50.0% or less but will win the election | 21% | |
| More than 50.0% but less than 55.0% | 38% | |
| 55.0% or more | 4% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 41 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 157 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
