MrLittleTexas asks:

What percentage of the vote will the Democratic candidate win in the 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election?

Started Jan 20, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Incumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is running for reelection in a state that went for Donald Trump in 2020 (WYMT, Morning Consult, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%" with a closing date of 7 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
50.0% or less and will not win the election 37%
50.0% or less but will win the election 21%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0% 38%
55.0% or more 4%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 157
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.784842
2.
-0.617851
3.
-0.49332
4.
-0.424311
5.
-0.363658

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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