Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will total global corporate investment in AI in 2023 reach or exceed $300 billion, according to the Artificial Intelligence Index?
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Investment in artificial intelligence (AI) has grown considerably in just the past decade, with some raising concerns about the potential consequences of embracing the technology (TechRepublic, World Economic Forum, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using 2023 data as first published in the 2024 AI Index Report published by the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence, expected in March 2024 (Stanford University). In 2021, the total annual investment in AI companies in the world was $176.47 billion (Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2022, see Figure 4.2.1 on page 151). Inflation-adjusted historical data may also be found on Our World in Data (Our World in Data).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 23.85% | |
No | 76.15% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 81 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 185 | |
Number of Forecasts | 353 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 538 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |