Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many Oscars will the film Everything Everywhere All at Once win?
Started
Jan 27, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 12, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 12, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Tags
Everything Everywhere All at Once leads the nominations in 2023 at 11 (NPR). The 95th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 12 March 2023 (Oscars). For the purposes of this question, a tie in a category would count as a win.
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The question closed "Between 5 and 7" with a closing date of 12 March 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| None | 1% | |
| 1 | 12% | |
| Between 2 and 4 | 49% | |
| Between 5 and 7 | 32% | |
| 8 or more | 6% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 33 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 166 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 86 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 367 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
