dada asks:

Between 10 February 2023 and 10 August 2023, will lethal confrontations between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (forces) of Armenia and Azerbaijan result in 100 or more fatalities?

Started Feb 10, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 11, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan flared up most recently in September 2022, and tensions remain high despite the presence of Russian peacekeepers (France 24, US News & World Report, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty). A qualifying lethal confrontation is one that results in a fatality (total, not each) for forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, the forces of Artsakh, the breakaway Armenian-majority republic in Nagorno-Karabakh, are considered Armenian forces.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 27.04% +0.00% -1.32% -5.11%
No 72.96% -0.00% +1.32% +5.11%

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