MrLittleTexas asks:
Between 24 February 2023 and 25 August 2023, will former President Donald Trump be criminally charged with or indicted for a federal and/or state crime in the US?
Closing Sep 30, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Former President Trump is currently under investigation by various US jurisdictions (Vox, AP, USA Today). Any criminal charge or indictment under seal would only count upon the unsealing of the charge or indictment during the question's open period (Cornell, see Definition (1), Legal Beagle). Contempt charges or citations imposed by a judge or judicial officer alone would not count (Cornell).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, a federal crime only | 6.00% | +0.42% | +0.84% | +3.00% |
| Yes, a state crime only | 48.00% | -0.92% | -0.22% | -6.00% |
| Yes, both a federal crime and a state crime | 40.00% | +1.03% | +3.22% | +2.00% |
| No | 6.00% | -0.53% | -3.84% | +1.00% |