MrLittleTexas asks:

Will US FCC nominee Gigi Sohn be confirmed by the Senate before 24 June 2023?

Started Feb 24, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 07, 2023 06:53PM UTC

President Biden first nominated Sohn to the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) in October 2021, but the Senate did not hold a confirmation vote in the last Congress (NPR). Biden renominated her in January 2023, but Republican opposition remains high (Ars Technica, Roll Call, Deadline). The question would close early upon either a withdrawal of her nomination or a full Senate vote against confirmation.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 March 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 16.70%
No 83.30%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 31
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.056591
2.
-0.051591
3.
-0.049318
4.
-0.044773
5.
-0.044773

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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