Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 June 2023, will President Xi of China and President Zelensky of Ukraine meet in person?

Started Mar 08, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, China has shared a peace plan for the countries (AP, BBC, NBC News). The meeting must be face-to-face but can occur in any venue and does not need to be bilateral to count. If either Xi or Zelensky cease to be the president of their respective countries, the question will close "No."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.73%
No 98.27%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 158
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 482
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002
2.
-0.002
3.
-0.002
4.
-0.002

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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