What will be the ending stocks of crude oil in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in November 2023?

Started Mar 10, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

With US oil stockpiles in the SPR down 42% since President Biden took office, Republicans and Democrats are fighting over what to do next (Politico, The Hill, Department of Energy). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) when first released for November 2023, expected in January 2024 (EIA). For November 2022, ending stocks totaled 388,419 thousand barrels.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 330,000 thousand barrels 3.70% +0.00% -0.10% -5.20%
Between 330,000 thousand barrels and 370,000 thousand barrels, inclusive 36.20% +0.00% +1.10% +7.20%
More than 370,000 thousand barrels but less than 410,000 thousand barrels 47.40% +0.00% +0.40% +3.80%
Between 410,000 thousand barrels and 450,000 thousand barrels, inclusive 11.50% +0.00% -1.40% -4.20%
More than 450,000 thousand barrels 1.20% +0.00% +0.00% -1.60%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username