What will be the closing value of the S&P Regional Banks Select Industry Index on 16 June 2023?

Started Mar 17, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 16, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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The banking sector was hit hard by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in early March 2023, though intervention by the FDIC and Federal Reserve at least initially calmed the situation (CNBC, CNN). The question will be suspended on 15 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set chart to "1M").

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The question closed "Between 1,200.00 and 1,350.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 16 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1,200.00 0%
Between 1,200.00 and 1,350.00, inclusive 25%
More than 1,350.00 but less than 1,500.00 74%
Between 1,500.00 and 1,650.00, inclusive 1%
More than 1,650.00 but less than 1,800.00 0%
Between 1,800.00 and 1,950.00, inclusive 0%
More than 1,950.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 214
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.116029
2.
-0.113039
3.
-0.054778
4.
-0.049188
5.
-0.037117

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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