Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2023?

Started Mar 31, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has been consistently sending military aircraft into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) with growing numbers of aircraft, though not its national airspace (CNBC, Politico). For the purposes of this question, "territorial waters" means the sea within 12 nautical miles of the shore of the main island of Taiwan. Military drones would count, but balloons would not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 19.64% +0.00% -0.89% -2.05%
No 80.36% -0.00% +0.89% +2.05%

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