UBS asks:

What will be the closing value of the ICE US Dollar Index on 29 September 2023?

Started Apr 07, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The US Dollar Index, a measure of the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, has fallen from two-decade highs reached in 2022 (CNBC, MarketWatch, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 28 September 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M"). On 5 April 2023, the closing value was 102.01.

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The question closed "More than 106.00" with a closing date of 29 September 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 96.00 0%
Between 96.00 and 98.00, inclusive 0%
More than 98.00 but less than 100.00 0%
Between 100.00 and 102.00, inclusive 0%
More than 102.00 but less than 104.00 0%
Between 104.00 and 106.00, inclusive 23%
More than 106.00 77%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 66
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 511
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.467384
2.
-0.350996
3.
-0.32961
4.
-0.300059
5.
-0.242003

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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