Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Ukraine retake control of either the Zaporizhzhia or Kherson Oblast before 1 November 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Started Apr 21, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

While Russia claimed to annex both the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts along with Donetsk and Luhansk, Ukraine still controls parts of each (AP). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW's) interactive map of Russia's invasion of Ukraine (ISW).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 9.21% +0.00% -0.12% +1.26%
No 90.79% -0.00% +0.12% -1.26%

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