SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 10 November 2023?

Started May 19, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 10, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Despite China's abandonment of "Zero COVID," concerns about the country's economic health persist (NASDAQ, Yahoo Finance, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 9 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "1Y" and hover cursor over the chart for data). The closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 28 April 2023 was 2.7850%.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Less than 2.500% 9.70% +3.20% +1.60%
Between 2.500% and 2.800%, inclusive 55.80% +5.30% +6.70%
More than 2.800% but less than 3.100% 25.00% +1.40% +1.30%
Between 3.100% and 3.400%, inclusive 7.10% -9.90% -9.60%
More than 3.400% 2.40% +0.00% +0.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username