SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 10 November 2023?

Started May 19, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 10, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Despite China's abandonment of "Zero COVID," concerns about the country's economic health persist (NASDAQ, Yahoo Finance, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 9 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "1Y" and hover cursor over the chart for data). The closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 28 April 2023 was 2.7850%.

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The question closed "Between 2.500% and 2.800%, inclusive" with a closing date of 10 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2.500% 0%
Between 2.500% and 2.800%, inclusive 100%
More than 2.800% but less than 3.100% 0%
Between 3.100% and 3.400%, inclusive 0%
More than 3.400% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 103
Average for questions older than 6 months: 605
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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