SE_Meyer asks:
What will be the closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 10 November 2023?
Closed Nov 10, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Despite China's abandonment of "Zero COVID," concerns about the country's economic health persist (NASDAQ, Yahoo Finance, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 9 November 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "1Y" and hover cursor over the chart for data). The closing yield for the Chinese 10-year bond on 28 April 2023 was 2.7850%.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Between 2.500% and 2.800%, inclusive" with a closing date of 10 November 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.500% | 0% | |
| Between 2.500% and 2.800%, inclusive | 100% | |
| More than 2.800% but less than 3.100% | 0% | |
| Between 3.100% and 3.400%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 3.400% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 25 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 193 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 103 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 554 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
