What will be the value for the informal US dollar to Argentine peso exchange rate (aka "blue dollar" rate) on 30 November 2023?

Started May 19, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The Argentine peso has hit historic lows against the US dollar in both official and informal exchange rates as inflation reached 100% and with political uncertainty surrounding elections scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2023 (BBC, AP, Buenos Aires Times). The question will be suspended on 29 November 2023 and the outcome determined using chart data for 30 November 2023 as reported by Blue Dollar (Blue Dollar, set "Zoom" to "1Y"). The Argentine presidential election is scheduled for 22 October 2023, with a runoff on 19 November 2023, if needed (teleSUR).

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The question closed "Between 850 and 1,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 November 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 400 0%
Between 400 and 500, inclusive 0%
Higher than 500 but lower than 600 0%
Between 600 and 700, inclusive 0%
Higher than 700 but lower than 850 2%
Between 850 and 1,000, inclusive 77%
Higher than 1,000 but lower than 1,400 20%
1,400 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 22
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 271
Average for questions older than 6 months: 605
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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