Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will North Korea successfully put a satellite into orbit before 23 September 2023?
Closed Sep 23, 2023 07:01AM UTC
In May 2023, North Korea failed in an attempt to launch a spy satellite, but plans to try again (NPR, AP). North Korea has previously put at least two satellites into orbit (38 North). The purpose and operability of a satellite put into orbit is immaterial.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 23 September 2023.
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