Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the closing value for the US dollar to Turkish lira exchange rate on 4 August 2023?
Closed Aug 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The Turkish lira reached record lows against the US dollar since President Erdogan won reelection in late May 2023 (US News & World Report, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as reported in the US by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").
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The question closed "Between 26.00 and 28.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 4 August 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 22.00 | 0% | |
| Between 22.00 and 24.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 24.00 but lower than 26.00 | 3% | |
| Between 26.00 and 28.00, inclusive | 93% | |
| Higher than 28.00 but lower than 30.00 | 3% | |
| Between 30.00 and 32.00, inclusive | 1% | |
| Higher than 32.00 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 59 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 205 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 203 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 582 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
