Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Which Major League Baseball team will be in first place in the National League's West Division (NL West) as of 6 August 2023?
Closed Aug 05, 2023 04:55AM UTC
The NL West was the most competitive division going into the All-star Break, with the Diamondbacks and Dodgers tied for first and the Giants 2.5 games behind (Arizona Sports). The question will be suspended on 5 August 2023 and the outcome determined using division standings data as reported by ESPN upon the conclusion of all games on 6 August 2023 (ESPN). A game that commences on 6 August 2022 will count toward the outcome regardless of when that game ends unless play is postponed to a future date.
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The question closed "Los Angeles Dodgers" with a closing date of 4 August 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0% | |
| Colorado Rockies | 0% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 98% | |
| San Diego Padres | 0% | |
| San Francisco Giants | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 63 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 252 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
