Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 7 August 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Closed Aug 07, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 6 August 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 7 August 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).
The question closed "More than $3.78 but less than $3.90" with a closing date of 7 August 2023.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Less than $3.18||0%|
|Between $3.18 and $3.30, inclusive||0%|
|More than $3.30 but less than $3.42||0%|
|Between $3.42 and $3.54, inclusive||1%|
|More than $3.54 but less than $3.66||1%|
|Between $3.66 and $3.78, inclusive||8%|
|More than $3.78 but less than $3.90||85%|
|$3.90 or more||5%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||67|
|Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187|
|Number of Forecasts||297|
|Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|