Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 7 August 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

Started Jul 18, 2023 10:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 07, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 6 August 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 7 August 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).

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The question closed "More than $3.78 but less than $3.90" with a closing date of 7 August 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $3.18 0%
Between $3.18 and $3.30, inclusive 0%
More than $3.30 but less than $3.42 0%
Between $3.42 and $3.54, inclusive 1%
More than $3.54 but less than $3.66 1%
Between $3.66 and $3.78, inclusive 8%
More than $3.78 but less than $3.90 85%
$3.90 or more 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 297
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.206361
2.
-0.114224
3.
-0.108679
4.
-0.100605
5.
-0.098916

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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