Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 7 August 2023, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?
Started
Jul 18, 2023 10:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 07, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closed Aug 07, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 6 August 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by AAA for 7 August 2023 (AAA, see "Today's AAA National Average" graphic).
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The question closed "More than $3.78 but less than $3.90" with a closing date of 7 August 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $3.18 | 0% | |
| Between $3.18 and $3.30, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $3.30 but less than $3.42 | 0% | |
| Between $3.42 and $3.54, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than $3.54 but less than $3.66 | 1% | |
| Between $3.66 and $3.78, inclusive | 8% | |
| More than $3.78 but less than $3.90 | 85% | |
| $3.90 or more | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 67 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 297 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
