Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many total travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in the first week (1st - 7th) of August 2023?
Closed Aug 07, 2023 07:01AM UTC
While total air passenger traffic has recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic, the industry is struggling to keep up with demand (CNBC, USA Today). The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA).
The question closed "More than 17.4 million but fewer than 18.2 million" with a closing date of 8 August 2023.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Fewer than 16.6 million||2%|
|Between 16.6 million and 17.4 million, inclusive||6%|
|More than 17.4 million but fewer than 18.2 million||61%|
|Between 18.2 million and 19.0 million, inclusive||26%|
|More than 19.0 million but fewer than 19.8 million||3%|
|19.8 million or more||2%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||58|
|Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187|
|Number of Forecasts||167|
|Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|