When will the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC) file a civil complaint against OpenAI?

Started Jul 14, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 13, 2024 07:01AM UTC

In July 2023, the FTC sent OpenAI, the firm that created ChatGPT, a civil investigative demand letter for information as part of an investigation into whether OpenAI has violated consumer protection laws (CNBC, NPR, Washington Post - Demand Letter). A complaint under seal would only count upon being unsealed, and a complaint filed in court or as an administrative action would count.

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The question closed "Not before 13 July 2024" with a closing date of 13 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 14 November 2023 0%
Between 14 November 2023 and 13 March 2024 0%
Between 14 March 2024 and 12 July 2024 0%
Not before 13 July 2024 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 193
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.031091
2.
-0.030544
3.
-0.028093
4.
-0.028017
5.
-0.025151

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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