When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

Started Jul 21, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Amid reports and suggestions for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the war continues (AP, Anadolu Agency, NBC News). A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both Russia and Ukraine to count. The Ukrainian government as recognized by the European Union must be party to the agreement to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of the internationally recognized territory of Ukraine, including Donbas and Crimea. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 January 2024 0% 0% 0% 0%
Between 1 January 2024 and 30 June 2024 2.00% 0% 0% -1.00%
Not before 1 July 2024 98.00% 0% 0% +1.00%

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