Before 1 January 2025, will Bhutan and China sign or announce an agreement settling all border disputes between the two countries?
Closed Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Bhutan, which generally borders China to the north and its traditional ally India to the south, has border disputes with China for which talks have taken place for years (BBC, Scroll.in, Indian Express, The Bhutanese). The fate of the Doklam plateau is of great concern to India (Brookings Institution, The Tribune, Foreign Policy). Any requirements for ratification are immaterial, and objections by India would be immaterial so long as Bhutan and China agree that the agreement settles all border disputes between the two.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | |
| No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 53 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 246 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
