Nathan Arnaud asks:

Which team will win the 2023 Rugby World Cup?

Started Aug 11, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 28, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The 2023 Rugby World Cup final is scheduled for 28 October 2023 in Saint-Denis, France (Rugby World Cup, Planet Rugby, Telegraph).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "South Africa" with a closing date of 28 October 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Australia 0%
England 0%
France 0%
Ireland 0%
New Zealand 55%
South Africa 45%
Another team 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 252
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.350163
2.
-0.243888
3.
-0.175763
4.
-0.169342
5.
-0.155156

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username