Nathan Arnaud asks:

Which team will win the 2023 Rugby World Cup?

Started Aug 11, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 28, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The 2023 Rugby World Cup final is scheduled for 28 October 2023 in Saint-Denis, France (Rugby World Cup, Planet Rugby, Telegraph).

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The question closed "South Africa" with a closing date of 28 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Australia 0%
England 0%
France 0%
Ireland 0%
New Zealand 55%
South Africa 45%
Another team 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 252
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 480
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.35
2.
-0.244
3.
-0.176
4.
-0.169
5.
-0.155

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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