What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November 2023?
Closing Dec 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Inflation in the US has been cooling in 2023 but remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% (US News & World Report, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2023 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for November 2023 as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in December 2023 (FRED, click "EDIT GRAPH" and change "Units" to "Percentage Change from Year Ago"). For December 2022, the change was 6.44494%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up by less than 1.600% or down | 1.00% | +0.00% | -1.00% | +0.55% |
| Up by between 1.600% and 2.200%, inclusive | 3.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% | +1.55% |
| Up by more than 2.200% but less than 2.800% | 8.00% | -1.00% | +4.00% | +4.35% |
| Up by between 2.800% and 3.400%, inclusive | 54.00% | +1.00% | -3.00% | +24.75% |
| Up by more than 3.400% but less than 4.000% | 27.00% | +0.00% | -4.00% | -23.50% |
| Up by between 4.000% and 4.600%, inclusive | 6.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% | -7.70% |
| Up by more than 4.600% | 1.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |