What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 15 December 2023?
Closed Dec 15, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 14 December 2023 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected the following week (FRED). For 14 August 2023, the yield was 4.19%.
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The question closed "Higher than 3.60% but lower than 4.00%" with a closing date of 15 December 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 3.20% | 0% | |
| Between 3.20% and 3.60%, inclusive | 1% | |
| Higher than 3.60% but lower than 4.00% | 53% | |
| Between 4.00% and 4.40%, inclusive | 45% | |
| Higher than 4.40% but lower than 4.80% | 1% | |
| Between 4.80% and 5.20%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 5.20% but lower than 5.60% | 0% | |
| 5.60% or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 70 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 606 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
