What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for 2024?

Started Aug 25, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Youth unemployment, major debt headwinds, and other factors are leading many observers to dim their expectations for China's economic growth in the near future (CNN, Guardian, ABC Australia). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2024 and the outcome determined using IMF real GDP data from the first release of the World Economic Outlook Database in 2025, which is expected in April 2025 (IMF). At the IMF website, choose the appropriate "World Economic Outlook Database," then click "By Countries." In the reporting tool page, 1) select "EMERGING AND DEVELOPING ASIA," 2) click the "CLEAR ALL" button, then "China," then click "CONTINUE," 3) select "Gross Domestic Product, constant prices PERCENT CHANGE," then click "CONTINUE," 4) set the "Start Year" and "End Year" as you wish, then press the "PREPARE REPORT" button. China's GDP percentage change in constant prices for 2022 was estimated to be 2.988% according to the April 2023 report (IMF - World Economic Outlook April 2023).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Lower by more than 1.50% 0.88% +0.00% +0.00% -0.12%
Lower by between 0.00% and 1.50%, inclusive 3.00% +0.00% +0.00% +2.00%
Higher by more than 0.00% but less than 1.50% 5.56% +0.00% +0.00% +2.56%
Higher by between 1.50% and 3.00%, inclusive 11.94% +0.00% +0.56% -3.06%
Higher by more than 3.00% but less than 4.50% 31.00% +0.00% +2.00% -3.00%
Higher by between 4.50% and 6.00%, inclusive 41.06% +0.00% -3.69% +0.06%
Higher by more than 6.00% 6.56% +0.00% +1.12% +1.56%

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