Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 1 January 2024?
Started
Sep 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Speaker of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy announced 12 September 2023 that he was directing committees to open a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden (Twitter, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden | 5.00% | -2.23% |
| Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden | 24.00% | +2.69% |
| No | 71.00% | -0.46% |