Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the full US House of Representatives vote on impeaching President Joe Biden before 1 January 2024?

Started Sep 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Speaker of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy announced 12 September 2023 that he was directing committees to open a formal impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden (Twitter, Axios). Only votes by the full House of Representatives will count (Congressional Research Service). The question will not close early upon a full House vote to not impeach President Biden.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes, and the full House will vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden 5.00% -2.23%
Yes, but the full House will not vote in the affirmative to impeach President Biden 24.00% +2.69%
No 71.00% -0.46%

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