In Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, will the Supreme Court explicitly overrule Chevron U.S.A. v. Natural Resources Defense Council (Chevron), which requires courts to defer to federal agency interpretations of statutes?

Started Sep 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2024 02:15PM UTC

"Chevron deference" is among the most important principles in administrative law in the US, though it has faced a great deal of criticism (Cornell - Chevron Deference, Politico). Fishing companies, including Loper Bright Enterprises, sued the federal government over an administrative rule requiring them to help fund a monitoring program, and appealed to the Supreme Court after losing in both district and circuit courts (Oyez). The fishing companies have asked if Chevron should be overruled or clarified as to statutory silence on certain matters (SCOTUSblog, Holland & Knight). A mere clarification under the existing Chevron framework would not count. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2023 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 28 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 75%
No 25%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 126
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.387218
2.
-0.387218
4.
-0.377731
5.
-0.340009

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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