Will Ukraine's Corruption Perceptions Index score rise in 2023 as compared to 2022, according to Transparency International?

Started Sep 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As war continues in Ukraine, fights against corruption in the government continue (CBC, BBC, Guardian). The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) is a measure of a country's perceived levels of public sector corruption (Transparency International). The scale runs from zero to 100, with 100 being the least corrupt. The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using CPI data for Ukraine once published for 2023, expected in early 2024. In 2022, Ukraine had a score of 33, up by one point from 2021 (Transparency International - Ukraine).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 71%
No 29%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 78
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 211
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.179195
2.
-0.179195
3.
-0.179195
5.
-0.176901

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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